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538
Steve Garvey has no chance to win the Senate Seat
Steve Garvey does not have any chance to win the California Senate seat to become one of our two California Senators within the US Senate.
The Adam Schiff vs Steve Garvey polls (from 538) have not budged much from a 57%/35% position (with the remaining Undecided) since the end of August.
The table and graph below depict the most recent adjusted polls if we take out the Undecided.
Steve Garvey has no path to victory for the California Senate seat. This is because even if he could miraculously flip 100% of the Undecided, he still would not be even close to reaching the 50% threshold necessary to win.
Below, I adjusted the pro-rated polls by flipping 100% of the Undecided to Garvey. And, even such a political miracle (flipping 100% of the Undecided) would make no difference whatsoever. Schiff would still win in a landslide.
THE END
Gaetan Lion is an independent researcher with expertise in economics, econometrics, investments, risk management, statistics, and quantitative analysis. His areas of interest include demographics, economics, investments, Climate Change, health care, sports, and politics.